.Lactose means milk sugar, coming from the word Galactos in Greek, meaning the Milky Way, from where we get the words, Galaxy & Galactic.
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What happens is that babes need to be able to digest mother’s milk. AFter the child is weaned, it is no longer needed, and efficiently is turned off. Which is why we don’t know about 20% of the genes’ functions, as they are turned off even before birth, needed for embryogenic development of the body, and NOT used after birth.
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So, as milk became more and more used (by the Euros) and notably by the Mongols who drank the milk from their main transportation, pony mares, the ability to digest milk gave ONE more environmental nutrient to avoid starvation and improve nutrition.
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Milk, like eggs, is VERY bioavailable, meaning, it’s very, very well absorbed almost in toto, whereas plant foods are locky to be 30-40% absorbable. Their bioavailability is very low. Milk is VERY efficiently absorbed, thus a highly efficient, thermodynamically useful nutrient.
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And the taste we have for milk, the umami taste is also there to detect and taste milk, among other things, such as meat.
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Also the taste of blood (coppery, metallic taste) is discrete as well, but not well recognized, as yet an EIGHTH sens of taste, as umami was the 7th.
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Thus, it became a very highly evolutionary advantage to be able to keep that gene on, and drink milk throughout life, as in most Euro cultures. This is not often done in East Asia, where there is a lot of lactose intolerance.
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It’s an evolutionary advantage, to help nutrition AND survive famines, because it creates another large source of foods, namely, cow milk. Tho horse milk and other kinds are also used, as is goat milk.
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That’s what’s going on. Largely. The “Rest of the Story” to honor Paul Harvey, as well.
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AND, “Evolution in Action”, to quote the great Seer, and sci-fi writer, Larry Niven.
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———
Follies & Bad Planning in Building Nuke Reactors on the West Coast
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Wrote about this here years ago. regarding Bodega Head State Park. The huge hole in the sand is still there, dug out while the engineers were being told & reminded that a nuke on a Sand Andreas fault is “Fawlty” engineering.
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We got San Onofre shut down over the same problem. The local yokel utility stated No faults around. Yes, there is and was. The southern end of the Newport-Inglewood fault. Created a 6.4 Mag. , very damaging quake in Long Beach in the 1933, killing about 115 people. Which the SoCal Utilities ignored/denied of course.
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Took bad plumbing with many 1000’s errors by a Nihon Corp which was replacing those, to get it finally shut down.
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Sayonara “Two Tits on the Beach”!!!!
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Justice and rational, geological planning won out.
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To quote Freud, “Reason is not a strong voice, but it’s a persistent one and ALWAYS gets a hearing.”
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Today there is STILL a nuke reactor on a fault. It’s the one just north of Vallejo, built near the Hayward fault, which is capable of very damaging quakes.
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That’s the next one to get KO’d. Then we go after the ancient, should have been decommissioned, Experimental reactor in the old McClellan AFB, NE Suburbs of Sacto.
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Those are the two targets to take care of next, and finally.
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Plus clean up of the Sta. Susanna Field, 10 nuke reactor sites (THREE of which blew) inside the LA city limits. Yikes!!!
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Susana_Field_Laboratory
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Found!! The Likely Crash Site of MH370.
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The location of highly probable as well as certain crash debris follow a very interesting pattern. Viz., the known, well established South Equatorial Current in the Indian Ocean.
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Comparing the debris finds on Reunion, Mauritius, and another shoal Isle, And the sites on the NE and SE coasts of Madagascar, where the SEqC splits, PLUS finds where that current impacts the East African coast, is rather clear cut.
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Thus, in an area, likely some 100’s of miles EAST of Mauritius, south of the equator in the SEqC, as shown on the detailed Wiki map, locates the likely crash region of that jet, MH370.
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The debris data are robust, and the currents of the SEqC flow are known. And they fit like a glove.
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And the model can be tested by using RF tagged buoys and other highly durable floating objects, where they will be found over time on just those areas where debris was found, over time, if released in the SEqC at a site near to where MH370 crashed.
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Further if the debris field is too wide, then the site of release of the buoys needs to be closer to Reunion. If too tight, then further away.
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The article shows both the maps of the debris finds, as well as the SEqC for comparisons.
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A New, Working Model to Predict The Size of Future Sunspot Cycles More Quickly
14 Jan. 2020
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First of all, go to SILSO, and look at the Central chart labelled on the Home page: “Sunspot number series: latest update”.
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Now enlarge the image by clicking on it, then compare and contrast the current sunspot cycle minimum, which is VERY clearly now reaching a minimum, to the one in the 2008-2010 interval at the end of cycle 23.
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If we subtract out the 10-30 SN number from the current data, to make it close to the historical, visible sunspot data, we see that the current sunspot minimum has been going on since about 2-3 months around 1 Jan. 2018.
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Now, and this is the critical comparison which creates the interesting new information. If we measure out in time around the Jan. 2008 time, as the time when the minimum of cycle 23 began, and compare that to when it began to rise out of the minimum, when the current cycle 24 began, Make a visual inspection.
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TWO years later, almost exactly, Cycle 24 had begun, Clearly.
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NOW, here’s the juicy part. Add those SAME two years to the current end, minimum of cycle 24, and we get about 3 months more, until the cycle #25 should begin. If it’s the same intensity as cycle 24.
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And that’s interesting because of a simple, single point made. They are predicting and continuing to predict it will come out every time, earlier on the upper red dashed curve, and then moving that further out in time, when it’s clearly wrong.
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So, we have this conundrum. We should see by the End of 2019, and by early 2012, if the two cycles (24 & 25) are the same, as is being predicted by many models, then cycle 25 needs to start there.
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NOW, comes the cool finding. IF the sunspot cycles, substantially, we see a much longer gap between them compared from cycle 23 to 24. And if we see a further lengthening time, before cycle 25, then it means that cycle 25 is likely to be longer, AND of less amplitude.
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This means, clearly, that if by spring 2020, that Cycle 25 has NOT begun, that it will likely be of less intensity than cycle 24, AND the earth will cool.
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Strictly, however, but without this key insights of comparing cycle intensities, minima lengths & sizes with the size of the minima gaps, we can predict more likelihood what the cycles will rise to. It takes 2-3 years to get a 95% likelihood what the peak time & intensity of a cycle is, using current, traditional methods & predictors.
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However, this method, if valid, will give a value much, much faster than that. And if Cycle 25 is delayed to Fall, as some models predict, then cycle 25 will likely be much smaller than 24.
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And THAT dear friends, means cooler weather in the coming years, and Zharkova was right. Years before it can be found by averaging methods NOT yet applied scientifically nor confirmed for a declining sunspot cycle. The two methods are NOT strictly applicable: Rising sunspot cycles & failing, Falling cycles.
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This is what’s going on. We might well know there’s cooling coming, therefore, within a 6-12 month time, well before the usual stats.
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I apology for the detail in all of this. But it’s important to make the case, logically, evidentiarily, and clearly.
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We will know by mid summer to fall of 2020 if the Cycle 25 will be Significantly weaker than 24, likely.
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Just in time for the election, too!!!
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Time will tell if this hypothesis is correct.
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The Power of & Great Age of Human Predictions/Prophecies
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Too bad you miss the deep truths found in many ancient writings. As the Greek myth of Cassandra clearly showed.
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She was given the power of prophecy by a god, because of her piety. So was Alexandros (Paris), her brother. But the other gods were aghast. That’s too much power for humans. So they created a curse, to mitigate that Power of prediction (the power of sciences, as well.).
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Sure they would be prophets, able to predict some of the future, but they would NOT be believed!!! And thus do the old Greeks give us a deep insight into human psychologies, which we can date to the time of the Trojan War, and since, about 1250 BC, even to these days.
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“Beware the Greeks Bearing Gifts!!!'”And she was NOT believed, by people, and Troia fell, as did the house of Priam. Altho we know from archeology it was partly repaired, but the stuffings had been KO’d out of it.
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So, we take that huge psych insight, and bring it up to today. Have consistently seen that seers are NOT believed, as it’s happened to me quite some many times. IF you used the Rezulin for AODM, then beware, it’s off market in the UK for serious chemical hepatitis and deaths. Front page, left column, WSJ!!! But FDA intro’d it into the US totally without disclaimers about 2 weeks later. I repeatedly warned them of same, lethal chemical hepatitis. and was ignored!!!
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A prophet is without honor even in his own land, his own city, or his own family. And what happened?
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Don’t use new FDA drugs for at least 2 years until we can see they are safe, I’d been telling most in the early 1990’s. Predictions and prophecy. Even 1 doctor, who should know better continued it on himself.
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And after about 2.5 years, FDA withdrew it, for, You guessed it, very clear, chemical hepatitides AND deaths of liver failure. Exactly as I’d been saying for almost 3 years!!!
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The chief Endocrinologist at the large city in Cali where I worked, stated, then, “I will never use a new drug from the FDA until after at least 2-3 years!!!”
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Quoting me exactly. For the last several years.
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So, contrary to your extremist, denialists beliefs, somethings do not change from the times of the Trojan War, to the time of Jeshua Ben Yosef to the present day. People believe what they want to believe, & Seers & prophets are NOT believed!!!. And of those persons I’d warned repeatedly, NONE EVER admitted in retrospect, that I was right, either.
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So, NOT a universal psycho-social truth? Hah! IN a pig’s eye. And have doing that for 50 years.
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The future in some times and ways IS predictable to we humans. It’s built into our brains/minds. That’s a very, very ancient truth from the Ancient Achaean and classical Greek myths of Homer to the words of Jeshua Ben Yosef to even today. And it’s denied even after it’s occurred, too.
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That means some traits very human, which we have, Are NOT changed in millennia, and that kind of stability of emotions is extraordinary, But quite real!!!
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Did the same with the stock market crash in 2000, simply by viewing 2 front page cover articles in the Economist, with 1 image of the stock market bubble balloon, hitting the Statue of Liberty’s hand holding up the flame, and the air leaking out. And the 2nd one? The image of Alan Greenspan looking scared to death caught inside a big Soap Bubble, named, “Stock markets”.
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Then it collapsed falling from 2400 to about 700 and from 12K to about 7 K in spring 2000. Not a single one of those I’d told that too, ever admitted I’d been right. Except for a fine surg Tech, Mark. He looked at the Economist articles, sold off any stocks he’d not made money on, and of those he’d made money on, put a 7% stock market fall, SeLL Order on. And saved $50K for his kid’s schooling. Bright guy, and He thanked me only 1 of all of them.
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The one doc’s wife said, The stock markets can’t fall. we have our pension money in stocks. Said, I to here, Hey, how can i be overdrawn? I’ve still got Checks!!! Another docs said, “No one can predict the future.” Told him the English with 400 years of stock market collapses, could and had. Never heard from him even after the collapse that spring, either.
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Give predictions, be a seer, and you’ll be believed? In a pig’s eye!!!
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We got a LOT to learn about the ancient wisdom, is clearly the case. They were not fools, & the other, numerous, very clear, nearly universal processors of info, (Separate the Wheat from the Chaff!), in the ancient works is startlingly clear as well.
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I’ve done that since age 16, too. And told people very clearly, if Trump wanted to be Prez, and he had the fire in his belly to run for it, He’d be Prez. I didn’t vote for him, but only my br. in law, mentioned I’d been right. The rest were, well, being human, all too human!!! For the Last 3270 Years!!
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We see what happened in 2016, and may the forces of good help us!!!
1. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 1
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/14/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-introduction/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=22&relatedposts_position=0
2. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 2
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/14/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-pt-2/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=3&relatedposts_position=1
3. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 3
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/15/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-pt-3/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=7&relatedposts_position=0
3A.. Extensions & Applications, parts 1 & 2.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
4. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 1
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/28/the-comparison-process-explananda-pt-1/
5. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 2
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/28/the-comparison-process-explananda-pt-2/
6. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 3
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/04/comparison-process-explananda-pt-3/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=17&relatedposts_position=1
7. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 4
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/15/the-comparison-process-comp-explananda-4/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=38&relatedposts_position=0
8. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 5: Cosmology
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/15/cosmology-and-the-comparison-process-comp-explananda-5/
9. AI and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/20/artificial-intelligence-ai-and-the-comparison-process-comp/
10. Optical and Sensory Illusions, Creativity and the Comparison Process (COMP)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/06/opticalsensory-illusions-creativity-the-comp/
11. The Emotional Continuum: Exploring Emotions with the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/02/the-emotional-continuum-exploring-emotions/
12. Depths within Depths: the Nested Great Mysteries
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/14/depths-within-depths-the-nested-great-mysteries/
13. Language/Math, Description/Measurement, Least Energy Principle and AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/09/languagemath-descriptionmeasurement-least-energy-principle-and-ai/
14. The Continua, Yin/Yang, Dualities; Creativity and Prediction
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/21/the-continua-yinyang-dualities-creativity-and-prediction/
15. Empirical Introspection and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/24/81/
16. The Spark of Life and the Soul of Wit
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/the-spark-of-life-and-the-soul-of-wit/
17. The Praxis: Use of Cortical Evoked Responses (CER), functional MRI (fMRI), Magnetic Electroencephalography (MEG), and Magnetic Stimulation of brain (MagStim) to investigate recognition, creativity and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/05/16/the-praxis/
18. A Field Trip into the Mind
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/05/21/106/
19. Complex Systems, Boundary Events and Hierarchies
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/06/11/complex-systems-boundary-events-and-hierarchies/
20. The Relativity of the Cortex: The Mind/Brain Interface
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/07/02/the-relativity-of-the-cortex-the-mindbrain-interface/
21. How to Cure Diabetes (AODM type 2)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/07/18/how-to-cure-diabetes-aodm-2/
22. Dealing with Sociopaths, Terrorists and Riots
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/08/12/dealing-with-sociopaths-terrorists-and-riots/
23. Beyond the Absolute: The Limits to Knowledge
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/09/03/beyond-the-absolute-limits-to-knowledge/
24 Imaging the Conscience.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/10/20/imaging-the-conscience/
25. The Comparison Process: Creativity, and Linguistics. Analyzing a Movie
26. A Mother’s Wisdom
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/06/03/a-mothers-wisdom/
27. The Fox and the Hedgehog
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/06/19/the-fox-the-hedgehog/
28. Sequoias, Parkinson’s and Space Sickness.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/07/17/sequoias-parkinsons-and-space-sickness/
29. Evolution, growth, & Development: A Deeper Understanding.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/01/evolution-growth-development-a-deeper-understanding/
30. Explanandum 6: Understanding Complex Systems
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/08/explandum-6-understanding-complex-systems/
31. The Promised Land of the Undiscovered Country: Towards Universal Understanding
32. The Power of Proliferation
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/10/02/the-power-of-proliferation/
33. A Field Trip into our Understanding
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/11/03/a-field-trip-into-our-understanding/
34. Extensions & applications: Pts. 1 & 2.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
(35. A Hierarchical Turing Test for General AI, this was deleted after being posted, and it’s not known how it occurred.)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
35. The Structure of Color Vision
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/11/the-structure-of-color-vision/
36. La Chanson Sans Fin: Table of Contents
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/28/le-chanson-sans-fin-table-of-contents-2/
37. The Structure of Color Vision
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/16/the-structure-of-color-vision-2/
38. Stabilities, Repetitions, and Confirmability
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/30/stabilities-repetitions-confirmability/
39. The Balanced Brain
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/07/08/the-balanced-brain/
40. The Limits to Linear Thinking & Methods
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/07/10/the-limits-to-linear-thinking-methods/
41. Melding Cognitive Neuroscience & Behaviorism
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/11/19/melding-cognitive-neuroscience-behaviorism/
42. An Hierarchical Turing Test for AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/12/02/an-hierarchical-turing-test-for-ai/
43. Do Neutron Stars develop into White Dwarfs by Mass Loss?https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/02/08/do-neutron-stars-develop-into-white-dwarfs-by-mass-loss/
44. An Infinity of Flavors ? https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/02/16/an-infinity-of-flavors/
45. The Origin of Infomration & Understanding; and the Wellsprings of Creativity
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/04/01/origins-of-information-understanding/
46. The Complex System of the Second Law of Thermodynamics
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/04/22/the-complex-system-of-the-second-law-of-thermodynamics/
47. How Physicians Create New Information
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/01/how-physicians-create-new-information/
48. An Hierarchical Turing Test for AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/20/an-hierarchical-turing-test-for-ai-2/
49. The Neuroscience of Problem Solving
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/27/the-neuroscience-of-problem-solving/
50. A Standard Method to Understand Neurochemistry’s Complexities
51. Problem Solving for Self Driving Cars: a Model.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/06/10/problem-solving-for-self-driving-cars-a-model/
52. A Trio of Relationships and Connections
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/08/04/a-trio-of-relationships-connections/
53: Einstein’s Great Subtleties: Einstein’s Edge
https://wordpress.com/post/jochesh00.wordpress.com/583
54. The Problem of Solving P not Equal to NP
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/04/28/the-problem-of-solving-p-not-equal-to-np/
55. How to Create a Blue Rose
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/06/02/how-to-create-a-blue-rose/
56. The Etymologies of Creativity
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/06/14/the-etymologies-creativity/
57. A Basic Model of a Unifying System of Most All Knowledge
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/07/06/a-basic-model-of-a-unifying-system-of-most-all-knowledge/
58. Understanding Psych with S/F Brain Methods
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/07/11/understanding-psychology-with-s-f-methods/
59. The Wiggins Prime Sieve
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/02/the-wiggins-prime-sieve/
60. The Complex System of Love
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/22/the-complex-system-of-love/
61. The Limits of the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/27/the-limits-of-comparison-processing/
62. The Bees, Cortical Brain Structure, Einstein’s Brain, etc.
63. The Wiggins Prime Sieve, Version 3.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/09/15/the-wiggins-prime-sieve-version-3/
64. The Prime Quartets Method
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/10/04/prime-quartets-method-capabilities-insights-sans-limits/
65. Is Goldbach’s Conjecture True And/or False, Conditionally?
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/11/17/is-goldbachs-conjecture-true-and-or-false-conditionally/
66. The Magic of the Prime Multiples and Goldbach’s….
67 The Wiggins Primes Sieve: Cycles of 30’s in the Primes
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/12/17/the-wiggins-prime-sieve-cycles-of-30s-in-the-primes/
68. Winning at Solitaire, Basic Strategies
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/02/04/winning-at-solitaire-basic-strategies/
69, The Failures of Idealisms & Brain Hardwiring in the Sciences
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/04/04/the-failures-of-idealisms-brain-hardwiring-in-the-sciences/
70. The Break Outs: The roots of Growth & Unlimited Creativities
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/06/06/the-break-outs-roots-of-growth-unlimited-creativities/
71. How to Find the MH370 Crash Site
72. Walking Shortcuts, a Cameo
73. Einstein’s Quotes & Neuroscientific Insights on Creativity & Understanding
74. Towards a Model of Everything 14 Jul. 2019
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/13/towards-a-model-of-everything-moe/
75. Addenda: The Walkabout Article 22 Jul 2019
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/22/the-walkabout-article-addenda/
76. NP not = P, Second considerations
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/23/np-not-equal-to-p-2nd-considerations/
77. The Kategoria of Incompletenesses, Limits to Our Growth.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/08/05/the-kategoria-of-the-incompletenesses/
78. The Flight of Tennis Balls: A Cameo of Creative Thinking & Understanding
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/08/15/the-flight-of-tennis-balls/
79. The S curves of Growth
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/09/10/the-s-curves-of-growth/
80. A New Possible Sunspot Duration Detector
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/10/07/a-new-possible-sunspot-duration-amplitude-predictor/
81. 2nd Addendum to Walking/Decision Making article.
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/10/08/2nd-addendum-partial-mathematization-of-the-walking-decision-making-article/
82. Part 2: An Historical Genealogy of Tom Horn
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/11/16/an-historical-genealogy-of-tom-horn-part-2/
83. Part 1: An Historical Genealogy of Tom Horn
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/11/16/part-1-an-historical-genealogy-of-tom-horn/
84. The Power of & Great Age of Human Predictions/Prophecies
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/12/19/the-power-of-great-age-of-human-predictions-prophecies/
85. Four Short, Creative Insight Articles
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2020/01/14/four-short-creative-insight-articles/
86> The Likely Indian Ocean Southern Equatorial Current Crash Site of Flight MH370
87. Our Eyes Cannot See Our Eyes: The Mindtraps
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2020/02/08/our-eyes-cannot-see-our-eyes-the-mindtraps/
There are two biographies of Tom Horn we may use by comparison and contrast to more fully understand the life of Horn. The first is the best and most definitive, and comes in two editions, the original by Gary D. Ball, named, “Tom Horn In Life and Legend” published. 2014, and is the Definitive, modern work on Tom Horn, by an very fine historian
I am looking for any information on Martha Kerr. She married Alexander Craig and they settled in Washington Co., PA. I found some information that suggested that the Kerr and Craig families came to America on the same ship. They both came from County Down, Ireland. Martha was born 1772 and died 15 Jan 1852 in Buffalo, Washington County, PA. Alexander was born in 1759 and died 17 Aug 1811 Buffalo, Washington County, PA. I have a letter written by their grandson, John Henderson Craig, to his sister, Martha (Craig) Darby, wife of John Wesley Darby. He is the son of Hugh Craig and Hannah Henderson. It mentions relatives…Aunt Henderson, Wesley, Alexander, Squire McLain, Hugh, Uncle James, Seth, Uncle Thomas, Aunt Drusilla
First of all, go to SILSO, and look at the Central chart labelled on the Home page: “Sunspot number series: latest update”.
Now enlarge the image by clicking on it, then compare and contrast the current sunspot cycle minimum, which is VERY clearly now reaching a minimum, to the one in the 2008-2010 interval at the end of cycle 23.
If we subtract out the 10-30 SN number from the current data, to make it close to the historical, visible sunspot data, we see that the current sunspot minimum has been going on since about 2-3 months around 1 Jan. 2018.
Now, and this is the critical comparison which creates the interesting new information. If we measure out in time around the Jan. 2008 time, as the time when the minimum of cycle 23 began, and compare that to when it began to rise out of the minimum, when the current cycle 24 began, Make a visual inspection.
TWO years later, almost exactly, Cycle 24 had begun, Clearly.
NOW, here’s the juicy part. Add those SAME two years to the current end, minimum of cycle 24, and we get about 3 months more, until cycle #25 should begin. IFF, likely, it’s the same intensity as cycle 24.
And that’s interesting because of a simple, single point made. They are predicting and continuing to predict it will come out every time, earlier on the upper red dashed curve, and then moving that further out in time, when it’s clearly wrong and delayed. Thus playing both ends.
So, we have this conundrum. We should see by the End of 2019, and by early 2020, if the two cycles (24 & 25) are the same, as is being predicted by many models, then cycle 25 needs to start there, at. least within a few month of that time.
NOW, comes the cool finding. IF the sunspot cycles, substantially, we see a much longer gap between them from 24 to 25, compared to cycle 23 & 24. And if we see a further lengthening time, before cycle 25, then it means that cycle 25 maxima are likely to be shorter, And of lower amplitude.
This means, clearly, that if by spring 2020, that Cycle 25 has NOT begun, that it will likely be of less intensity than cycle 24, AND the earth will cool.
Strictly, however, but without this key insights of comparing cycle intensities, minima lengths & sizes with the size of the minima gaps, we can predict more likelihood what the cycles will rise to. It takes ca. 3 years into a new cycle to get a 95% likelihood what the peak length& intensity of a cycle is, using current, traditional methods & predictors.
However, this method, if valid, will give a value much, much faster than that. And if Cycle 25 is delayed to Fall, as some models predict, then cycle 25 will likely be much smaller than 24.
And THAT dear friends, means cooler weather in the coming years, and Zharkova was right. Years before it can be found by averaging methods NOT yet applied scientifically nor confirmed for a declining sunspot cycle. The two methods are NOT strictly applicable: Rising sunspot cycles & failing, Falling cycles.
This is what’s going on. We might well know there’s cooling coming, therefore, within a 6-12 mos. time, well before the usual stats.
.
I apology for the detail in all of this. But it’s important to make the case, logically, evidentiarily, and clearly.
We will know by mid summer to fall of 2020 if the Cycle 25 will be Significantly weaker than 24, likely.
Just in time for the election, too!!!
.
Time will tell if this hypothesis is correct.
This is a continuation of the theme in the MOE article which is needed to show in much fuller detail and instances how growth occurs mostly via S-curves and why those can be of such great value.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/13/towards-a-model-of-everything-moe/
Updated 16 Aug. 2019
1. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 1
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/14/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-introduction/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=22&relatedposts_position=0
2. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 2
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/14/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-pt-2/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=3&relatedposts_position=1
3. The Comparison Process, Introduction, Pt. 3
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/15/le-chanson-sans-fin-the-comparison-process-pt-3/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=7&relatedposts_position=0
3A.. Extensions & Applications, parts 1 & 2.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
4. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 1
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/28/the-comparison-process-explananda-pt-1/
5. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 2
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/02/28/the-comparison-process-explananda-pt-2/
6. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 3
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/04/comparison-process-explananda-pt-3/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=17&relatedposts_position=1
7. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 4
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/15/the-comparison-process-comp-explananda-4/?relatedposts_hit=1&relatedposts_origin=38&relatedposts_position=0
8. The Comparison Process, The Explananda 5: Cosmology
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/15/cosmology-and-the-comparison-process-comp-explananda-5/
9. AI and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/20/artificial-intelligence-ai-and-the-comparison-process-comp/
10. Optical and Sensory Illusions, Creativity and the Comparison Process (COMP)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/03/06/opticalsensory-illusions-creativity-the-comp/
11. The Emotional Continuum: Exploring Emotions with the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/02/the-emotional-continuum-exploring-emotions/
12. Depths within Depths: the Nested Great Mysteries
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/14/depths-within-depths-the-nested-great-mysteries/
13. Language/Math, Description/Measurement, Least Energy Principle and AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/09/languagemath-descriptionmeasurement-least-energy-principle-and-ai/
14. The Continua, Yin/Yang, Dualities; Creativity and Prediction
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/21/the-continua-yinyang-dualities-creativity-and-prediction/
15. Empirical Introspection and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/24/81/
16. The Spark of Life and the Soul of Wit
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/the-spark-of-life-and-the-soul-of-wit/
17. The Praxis: Use of Cortical Evoked Responses (CER), functional MRI (fMRI), Magnetic Electroencephalography (MEG), and Magnetic Stimulation of brain (MagStim) to investigate recognition, creativity and the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/05/16/the-praxis/
18. A Field Trip into the Mind
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/05/21/106/
19. Complex Systems, Boundary Events and Hierarchies
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/06/11/complex-systems-boundary-events-and-hierarchies/
20. The Relativity of the Cortex: The Mind/Brain Interface
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/07/02/the-relativity-of-the-cortex-the-mindbrain-interface/
21. How to Cure Diabetes (AODM type 2)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/07/18/how-to-cure-diabetes-aodm-2/
22. Dealing with Sociopaths, Terrorists and Riots
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/08/12/dealing-with-sociopaths-terrorists-and-riots/
23. Beyond the Absolute: The Limits to Knowledge
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/09/03/beyond-the-absolute-limits-to-knowledge/
24 Imaging the Conscience.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2014/10/20/imaging-the-conscience/
25. The Comparison Process: Creativity, and Linguistics. Analyzing a Movie
26. A Mother’s Wisdom
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/06/03/a-mothers-wisdom/
27. The Fox and the Hedgehog
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/06/19/the-fox-the-hedgehog/
28. Sequoias, Parkinson’s and Space Sickness.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/07/17/sequoias-parkinsons-and-space-sickness/
29. Evolution, growth, & Development: A Deeper Understanding.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/01/evolution-growth-development-a-deeper-understanding/
30. Explanandum 6: Understanding Complex Systems
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/08/explandum-6-understanding-complex-systems/
31. The Promised Land of the Undiscovered Country: Towards Universal Understanding
32. The Power of Proliferation
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/10/02/the-power-of-proliferation/
33. A Field Trip into our Understanding
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/11/03/a-field-trip-into-our-understanding/
34. Extensions & applications: Pts. 1 & 2.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
(35. A Hierarchical Turing Test for General AI, this was deleted after being posted, and it’s not known how it occurred.)
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/05/17/extensions-applications-pts-1-2/
35. The Structure of Color Vision
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/11/the-structure-of-color-vision/
36. La Chanson Sans Fin: Table of Contents
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2015/09/28/le-chanson-sans-fin-table-of-contents-2/
37. The Structure of Color Vision
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/16/the-structure-of-color-vision-2/
38. Stabilities, Repetitions, and Confirmability
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/06/30/stabilities-repetitions-confirmability/
39. The Balanced Brain
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/07/08/the-balanced-brain/
40. The Limits to Linear Thinking & Methods
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/07/10/the-limits-to-linear-thinking-methods/
41. Melding Cognitive Neuroscience & Behaviorism
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/11/19/melding-cognitive-neuroscience-behaviorism/
42. An Hierarchical Turing Test for AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2016/12/02/an-hierarchical-turing-test-for-ai/
43. Do Neutron Stars develop into White Dwarfs by Mass Loss?https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/02/08/do-neutron-stars-develop-into-white-dwarfs-by-mass-loss/
44. An Infinity of Flavors ? https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/02/16/an-infinity-of-flavors/
45. The Origin of Infomration & Understanding; and the Wellsprings of Creativity
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/04/01/origins-of-information-understanding/
46. The Complex System of the Second Law of Thermodynamics
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/04/22/the-complex-system-of-the-second-law-of-thermodynamics/
47. How Physicians Create New Information
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/01/how-physicians-create-new-information/
48. An Hierarchical Turing Test for AI
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/20/an-hierarchical-turing-test-for-ai-2/
49. The Neuroscience of Problem Solving
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/05/27/the-neuroscience-of-problem-solving/
50. A Standard Method to Understand Neurochemistry’s Complexities
51. Problem Solving for Self Driving Cars: a Model.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/06/10/problem-solving-for-self-driving-cars-a-model/
52. A Trio of Relationships and Connections
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2017/08/04/a-trio-of-relationships-connections/
53: Einstein’s Great Subtleties: Einstein’s Edge
https://wordpress.com/post/jochesh00.wordpress.com/583
54. The Problem of Solving P not Equal to NP
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/04/28/the-problem-of-solving-p-not-equal-to-np/
55. How to Create a Blue Rose
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/06/02/how-to-create-a-blue-rose/
56. The Etymologies of Creativity
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/06/14/the-etymologies-creativity/
57. A Basic Model of a Unifying System of Most All Knowledge
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/07/06/a-basic-model-of-a-unifying-system-of-most-all-knowledge/
58. Understanding Psych with S/F Brain Methods
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/07/11/understanding-psychology-with-s-f-methods/
59. The Wiggins Prime Sieve
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/02/the-wiggins-prime-sieve/
60. The Complex System of Love
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/22/the-complex-system-of-love/
61. The Limits of the Comparison Process
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/08/27/the-limits-of-comparison-processing/
62. The Bees, Cortical Brain Structure, Einstein’s Brain, etc.
63. The Wiggins Prime Sieve, Version 3.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/09/15/the-wiggins-prime-sieve-version-3/
64. The Prime Quartets Method
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/10/04/prime-quartets-method-capabilities-insights-sans-limits/
65. Is Goldbach’s Conjecture True And/or False, Conditionally?
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/11/17/is-goldbachs-conjecture-true-and-or-false-conditionally/
66. The Magic of the Prime Multiples and Goldbach’s….
67 The Wiggins Primes Sieve: Cycles of 30’s in the Primes
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2018/12/17/the-wiggins-prime-sieve-cycles-of-30s-in-the-primes/
68. Winning at Solitaire, Basic Strategies
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/02/04/winning-at-solitaire-basic-strategies/
69, The Failures of Idealisms & Brain Hardwiring in the Sciences
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/04/04/the-failures-of-idealisms-brain-hardwiring-in-the-sciences/
70. The Break Outs: The roots of Growth & Unlimited Creativities
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/06/06/the-break-outs-roots-of-growth-unlimited-creativities/
71. How to Find the MH370 Crash Site
72. Walking Shortcuts, a Cameo
73. Einstein’s Quotes & Neuroscientific Insights on Creativity & Understanding
74. Towards a Model of Everything 14 Jul. 2019
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/13/towards-a-model-of-everything-moe/
75. Addenda: The Walkabout Article 22 Jul 2019
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/22/the-walkabout-article-addenda/
76. NP not = P, Second considerations
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/07/23/np-not-equal-to-p-2nd-considerations/
77. The Kategoria of Incompletenesses, Limits to Our Growth.
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/08/05/the-kategoria-of-the-incompletenesses/
78. The Flight of Tennis Balls: A Cameo of Creative Thinking & Understanding
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/08/15/the-flight-of-tennis-balls/
79. The S curves of Growth
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/09/10/the-s-curves-of-growth/
80. A New Possible Sunspot Duration Detector
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/10/07/a-new-possible-sunspot-duration-amplitude-predictor/
81. 2nd Addendum to Walking/Decision Making article.
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/10/08/2nd-addendum-partial-mathematization-of-the-walking-decision-making-article/
82. Part 2: An Historical Genealogy of Tom Horn
https://jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/11/16/an-historical-genealogy-of-tom-horn-part-2/
83. Part 1: An Historical Genealogy of Tom Horn
jochesh00.wordpress.com/2019/11/16/part-1-an-historical-genealogy-of-tom-horn/